Week 3 Best Bets

Sea Dragons -4 @ Vipers o37.5

Both teams are looking to find their first win of the 2023 season as Ben DiNucci and the Sea Dragons head to Vegas to take on the Vipers.

The Vipers haven’t scored a TD since the first half of week 1 as Luis Perez and that offense has been struggling. Their defense, however, has consistently held their own given the time of possession differences they’ve had to endure.

The Sea Dragons are interesting too. Everyone is just waiting for June Jones’ offense to just click and for them to easily score each possession, but we haven’t seen that offense yet. 

I don’t think this is the game they find it either. Vic Beasly and the Vipers defense is hungry for their first win, and with a stagnant offense, they are going to need their best game thus far. Look for a low scoring affair in Vegas.

Best Bet: u37.5

Battlehawks o36.5 @ Defenders -3

This game has me most excited for week 3. The 2-0 Battlehawks head to DC to take on the 2-0 Defenders in a game that could have huge impacts on the North final standings.

The Battlehawks have found themselves in precarious situations as comebacks have been necessary in each 4th quarter this season. Against the Defenders, who are coming off giving up just 3 points last week, if the Battlehawks want to have a chance, they are going to need to be ready to roll early. 

While the Battlehawks have shown their ability to stop opposing offenses pretty well this far, they haven’t played a truly mobile QB yet. And surprise, the Defenders have 2 of them. D’Eriq King continues to provide the spark needed for the Defenders with his ground game.

I think this game is going to be a close one with each team being able to find their way offensively. If the Battlehawks can create opportunities in the first half and keep them in this game, look for a high-scoring affair.

Best Bet: o36.5

Guardians o37.5 @ Renegades -8

The Guardians have solidified their position as the 8th best team in this league and Vegas has begun to create lines to honor that fact. 8 points is the biggest spread we have seen through 3 weeks, but it almost doesn’t seem like enough. 

Nonetheless, this game is taking place in Arlington as the Renegades look to get back on track after their tough loss to the Roughnecks last week. They announced QB Kyle Sloter will be under center, and I think this is the right move. However, they have played two of the top defenses in the Vipers and the Roughnecks, so it’s a little surprising they made this move so early.

I think this offense finds its stride here and the Guardians continue to take steps backward. We know the Quentin Dormady drama can’t help anything as well, and the Guardians defense has simply been lack-luster. While I think the Renegades roll, let’s take a look at what Sloter can do differently with this offense before pulling the trigger.

Best Bet: No best bet. Lean Renegades -8

Brahmas o36.5 @ Roughnecks -4

The Roughnecks have been extremely impressive through 2 weeks and they have solidified their position as the team to beat.

The Brahmas are coming off an impressive win in week 2, and have generally played pretty well (other than the last 2 minutes of week 1), but are they at the Roughnecks level?

In my opinion, the books are valuing the Brahmas higher after their blowout win over the lowly Guardians. I think with the home field advantage and a defense that has been outstanding, the Roughnecks continue their success and win this one by a big margin.

Best Bet: Roughnecks -4